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Slow down the buying and selling Luxury Real Estate

(source ilsole24ore.com)

The enthusiasm for the slight upturn in the market in the first half of 2010 should do today to deal with the data of the last Italian observers on developments in the residential end of the year. Differences of opinion now draw the picture of the sector. Fiaip the pessimist, the Italian federation real estate agents, and always in the analysis gathered by Il Sole 24 Ore was more conservative than others.

For Bank of Italy, the survey on the housing market in Italy, in the fourth quarter of 2010, the proportion of agencies that have sold at least one property has been reduced by about ten percentage points. The total number of intermediate trading saw a drop, estimated in the order of three percentage points.

"are the demands of the discriminating owner - says the chairman of the study center Mario Conde de Satriano - still linked to the 2006-2007 values \u200b\u200band away from a more selective application. Request more "realistic" could meet the buyers and start up the market. " This caused the second Fiaip, a 2% drop in sales in 2010 (though that will rise in 2011) and 4.5% in average prices (-6.2% in Milan). Also according to UBH


the year just ended was below expectations. "The housing market has, however, signs of recovery in the provincial capitals of northern and central Italy. Also thanks to falling prices - said Alexander Ghisolfi of UBH -. The drop in values \u200b\u200bwill continue in 2011 certainly products of medium to low quality, while keeping the higher-value products. In some respects the residential market today resembles that of the first half of 1990, with demand very high potential, but only with purchases made by those who already had a fair amount of liquidity available. ".

On the Real Estate Trading Scenarios for 2010 indicate a recovery (630mila against 610mila 2009) and even an estimate for 2011 closing the year with 670mila transactions.


"The year ended better del precedente – spiega il presidente Mario Breglia –. Le rilevazioni sono influenzate dai tempi più lunghi per i rogiti e per novità come la certificazione energetica». Secondo Scenari va bene il segmento della prima casa, meglio ancora quello dell'acquisto per investimento. Per Guido Lodigiani di Gabetti il mercato va verso una polarizzazione sempre più netta. «Da un lato le metropoli fuori dalla crisi – dice –, dall'altro periferie e prodotti di bassa qualità in difficoltà».

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House Plan 2

"In one of next Council of Ministers, the Government will present new and additional efforts in order to activate, at a House Plan 2, investments for small and medium-sized enterprises, which will allow the revival of the industry. "

said the Minister for Relations with Parliament, Elio Vito, last Feb. 23 in the House, responding to a question on the initiatives for the revival of infrastructure projects, especially in the South, presented by Deputy Sergio IdV Piffari.

early February, the prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, has announced plans to reactivate the dialogue with the regions on the housing plan, to address the crisis in the construction industry. So far, the Plan House would not have had the desired effect because of restrictions imposed by local authorities. In CdM

8 February, the Minister for Infrastructure, Matteoli, announced a new measure for the revival of House Plan 2, because the regional laws "exclude 60% of the existing buildings on the opportunities for increased space requirements" . According to President Berlusconi "some regions have not done anything, were not taken away the bureaucratic obstacles that make it very long time between the decision and the implementation of the rules."

The draft decree submitted to the CDM lot out of 8 February, proposes the idea of \u200b\u200ba House Plan Central, regulated by a national measure to serve as a framework for regional laws to be adopted by December 31, 2011. The draft calls for the encouragement of urban regeneration of degraded areas through additional volumes, relocation of incongruous buildings in different areas and changes shape.

This hypothesis was supported by President Ance Paolo Buzzetti, in order to raise the building, hoping for a mix of measures undertaken by the CDM 8 February - that is, a housing plan turned into a "City Plan" - and tax breaks for the restructuring and upgrading the energy efficiency of buildings.

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Coupon fixed ... nothing definite

''The failure to introduce the coupon dry in 2011 could be an obstacle to the revival and development of the housing market, higher taxation might lead to more tax avoidance.'' So today the National President speaks Fiaip (the federation of real estate agents) Paolo Righi in the state as the housing market is crying out already 'in 2011 the application of dry 20% coupon.
Economy Minister Tremonti today reported a''hypothesis for the 23% coupon on which the Government is working.''
Paolo Righi argues that''if the dry 20% coupon you experience any difficulties 'on the road adoption of federalism, Fiaip they ask' to have removed from the order on federalism tax''.
fact, the real estate market 'in crisis and real estate agents Fiaip therefore asking for the tax on rental income can be introduced irrespective of the measures under discussion these days on municipal federalism in the Senate, to allow recovery of the housing market, and together to fight the''vacation''in black.

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To buy a house in 2014 you will pay less? Forecast Euribor

The project of the government, as already leaked last week by Minister Calderoli, is to put the center of everything the first home buyers a great advantage for the first time, in parallel with grave consequences for those who clever. These are likely

news on trades:

- if the property is purchased for the first house, the IMU (single tax on real estate) will be 2% of the cadastral value, instead of 3% now required by the registration fees, mortgage and land. to purchase a house worth € 200,000, for example, today we would pay 6 thousand euro, and 4 thousand with these changes;

- if the property is purchased for the first house will be from killing ' current 10% to 8% dell'imu transfer. always in the same apartment as an example, the value of € 200,000, is being increased from 20 thousand to 16 thousand euro registration fees, mortgage and land.

The date for the entry effect of the changes is 2014.

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(source sole24ore.com)

The Euribor has started 2011 with the brake engaged. The index is now 3 months to 1% share, the same value as the parameter of the ECB rate at 1 month fell to 0.75%. A since it will please those who is repaying a loan at a variable rate because most of indexed mortgages offered by Italian banks are calculated from the Euribor (the share of loans indexed directly to the ECB rate is less than 5%).

Updating forecasts Euribor 3 months indicates that this parameter should take 1, 45% at the end of 2011, 2.14% at the end of 2012, to 2.72% at the end of 2013. The Euribor three months should move beyond its historical average (3%) only in December 2014 when there is "land" to 3.22 percent.

short, the estimated future update Euribor in a slow and gradual realignment of the values \u200b\u200bpre-crisis. The short-term rates - which is pegged to the Euribor - should fly again complicit in the low uncertain economy and do not differ much, hence the reference rate of the European Central Bank, established (and never adjusted) in May 2009 1 per cent.