(source ilsole24ore.com)
The enthusiasm for the slight upturn in the market in the first half of 2010 should do today to deal with the data of the last Italian observers on developments in the residential end of the year. Differences of opinion now draw the picture of the sector. Fiaip the pessimist, the Italian federation real estate agents, and always in the analysis gathered by Il Sole 24 Ore was more conservative than others.
For Bank of Italy, the survey on the housing market in Italy, in the fourth quarter of 2010, the proportion of agencies that have sold at least one property has been reduced by about ten percentage points. The total number of intermediate trading saw a drop, estimated in the order of three percentage points.
"are the demands of the discriminating owner - says the chairman of the study center Mario Conde de Satriano - still linked to the 2006-2007 values \u200b\u200band away from a more selective application. Request more "realistic" could meet the buyers and start up the market. " This caused the second Fiaip, a 2% drop in sales in 2010 (though that will rise in 2011) and 4.5% in average prices (-6.2% in Milan). Also according to UBH
the year just ended was below expectations. "The housing market has, however, signs of recovery in the provincial capitals of northern and central Italy. Also thanks to falling prices - said Alexander Ghisolfi of UBH -. The drop in values \u200b\u200bwill continue in 2011 certainly products of medium to low quality, while keeping the higher-value products. In some respects the residential market today resembles that of the first half of 1990, with demand very high potential, but only with purchases made by those who already had a fair amount of liquidity available. ".
On the Real Estate Trading Scenarios for 2010 indicate a recovery (630mila against 610mila 2009) and even an estimate for 2011 closing the year with 670mila transactions.
"The year ended better del precedente – spiega il presidente Mario Breglia –. Le rilevazioni sono influenzate dai tempi più lunghi per i rogiti e per novità come la certificazione energetica». Secondo Scenari va bene il segmento della prima casa, meglio ancora quello dell'acquisto per investimento. Per Guido Lodigiani di Gabetti il mercato va verso una polarizzazione sempre più netta. «Da un lato le metropoli fuori dalla crisi – dice –, dall'altro periferie e prodotti di bassa qualità in difficoltà».
